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As part of the project, the Mackenzie Valley pipeline co-venturers
commissioned the team of Navigant Consulting, Inc. (NCI) and
Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc. (EEA) (collectively,
the NCI-EEA Team) to prepare an assessment of the long-term
market need for natural gas produced from the Mackenzie Delta
region. The NCI-EEA Team was also asked to investigate how
adequate the existing intra-Alberta and export gas pipeline
infrastructure was to receive and take away gas that would
be delivered to Alberta by the Mackenzie Valley pipeline.
The Navigant Report presents the findings and conclusions
of the gas demand, supply and infrastructure analysis prepared
by the NCI-EEA Team. The analysis considered a base case and
three sensitivity cases incorporating alternative assumptions
concerning:
- the initial capacity of the Mackenzie Valley pipeline
- potential expansion of the pipeline’s capacity
- alternative levels of gas demand in Canada and the
United States
- the potential start of pipeline operations to deliver
Alaskan gas to markets in Canada and the United States
Taken together, the scenarios bracket the range of
market conditions likely to exist during the first two
decades of Mackenzie Valley pipeline operations. Analysis
of the sensitivity case results confirms the study’s basic
conclusions regarding the need for the incremental gas
supplies transported by the Mackenzie Valley pipeline.
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Table of Contents
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MGP_Navigant_Market_Study_TOC
(152 KB PDF)
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Executive Summary
1. Introduction and Organization
2. Base Case Analysis
3. Regional Market Analysis
4. Gas Supply and Deliverability Analysis
5. Intra-Alberta and Gas Pipeline Takeaway Infrastructure
6. Sensitivity Analysis
7. Conclusions
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MGP_Navigant_Market_Study_Contents
(1.9 MB PDF)
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